We’ve been combing through the sportsbook all week to find value for you, the reader, and we’re making a list on the eve of Super Bowl LVIII.
While I’m sure I’m missing quite a few, these are the five Super Bowl prop bets I’ve fallen in love with this week. Some might call this whole article a retread, but it is helpful to organize all your favorites in one place (especially for your friends who don’t like to read).
Super Bowl 58 prop bet guides:
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Patrick Mahomes
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Travis Kelce
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Brock Purdy
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Isaiah Pacheco
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop Bet guide: George Kittle
PSN Super Bowl 58 prop bet guide: Noah Gray
PSN Super Bowl 58 prop bet guide: Deebo Samuel
PSN Super Bowl 58 prop bet guide: Rashee Rice
Without any gabbing, here are my five favorite bets for the biggest game in football.
Will Patrick Mahomes throw a touchdown pass in the 1st Quarter | YES +210
Mahomes has thrown a first-quarter touchdown this postseason in two of three games, once to Rashee Rice and again last week to Travis Kelce.
I like Mahomes & Andy Reid on a script, and although the 49ers haven’t allowed a first-quarter passing touchdown this postseason, the Lions were able to score twice early in the NFC Championship. This one is fun and gives some excellent juice if you think the Chiefs can get up early on Kyle Shannahan’s defensive unit.
PSN Pick | YES
First TE to Reach 20+ Yards Receiving – Travis Kelce v. George Kittle | +285 for Kittle
I have to give it to FanDuel again for a bet with a fun twist. While I don’t think Kittle eclipses his over, it’s all too familiar watching Kittle make one big play early and revert to a sixth-lineman for the remainder of the game.
You’re getting plus-plus odds, and Kittle’s averaging 11.3 yards per target. One strong drive before the Chiefs even see the ball could have you cashing in before you see your first State Farm commercial.
PSN Pick | YES
Noah Gray | 11.5 Receiving Yards | O -130 / U +100
I know this isn’t the Kansas City Chiefs tight end you’d expect to receive a feature ahead of the Super Bowl, but I believe Noah Gray has a ton of value riding the wake of Kelce.
Since Week 15, Gray’s played 51% of the Chiefs offensive snaps, a number that’s increased to 54% in the playoffs. And while an average of three targets per game in the postseason isn’t too impressive, he’s coming off five total targets and almost 60% offensive snaps played against the Baltimore Ravens.
I like throwing this one into a couple of multi-leg parlays with a receiving total this low.
PSN Pick | Gray O/11.5 receiving yards
Will Brock Purdy throw a touchdown pass in the 4th Quarter | YES +152
Okay – I can have my cake and eat it too. Not unlike our Mahomes first-quarter passing touchdown, you’re guessing the flow of the game, and I think we’ll see the 49ers trail heading into the fourth.
With that notion in mind, garbage time or not, Purdy could be fighting for his life, so why not throw some cheddar on a heroic score after he’s settled into the bright lights of the biggest night in sports?
PSN Pick | YES
First Touchdown Scorer | Rashee Rice | +850
For those of you who have been following, I also love Noah Gray (now +5500) as the first touchdown scorer, but Rice has to be the safer money.
Rice hasn’t scored since the Wildcard Round against the Miami Dolphins, but that was the game’s first touchdown. Rice has been responsible for the first Kansas City touchdown three times this season, even catching the first score from Jerick McKinnon against the New England Patriots.
For those of you who are a bit meeker, no shame. You can get Rice at +130 as an Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
AP Photo/Charlie Riedel