Super Bowl 58 prop bets: How to make money betting on Brock Purdy this weekend

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Eagles 49ers vs packers super bowl
Philadelphia Eagles safety Sydney Brown (21) reacts after tackling San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) during the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 3, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

With Super Bowl 58 now just a few days away, it’s time to start building your betslips for the iconic game. If you’re looking for some good prop bets to make this weekend, you’ve come to the right place. We’re breaking down each star player along with which bets to make and which to avoid.

Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guides

PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Patrick Mahomes
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Travis Kelce

Brock Purdy | San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy Touchdown Passes | 1.5 Touchdown Passes (O -122 | U +100)

Initially, I liked this. I really liked this but let me slow down and put my oddsmakers hat on. What’s more likely – Purdy explodes for a 3-4x touchdown passing performance OR Christian McCaffery suddenly has three scores? I like the latter. 

Personally, this is one I would stay away from entirely because I can talk myself into both sides of the coming – that usually means I’ll get it wrong. I’m trying to normalize staying away from fishy bets. Plus, history is on our side. Purdy’s throwing just a single touchdown per game this postseason. 

PSN Pick | STAY AWAY

NFC west ods super bowl
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) celebrates after running for a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the first half of an NFL football game in Santa Clara, Calif., Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
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Will Brock Purdy throw a touchdown pass in the 4th Quarter | YES +152

Okay – I can have my cake and eat it too. Not unlike our Mahomes first-quarter passing touchdown, you’re guessing the flow of the game and I think we’ll see the 49ers trail heading into the fourth.

With that notion in mind, garbage time or not, Purdy could be fighting for his life so why not throw some cheddar on a heroic score after he’s settled into the bright lights of the biggest night in sports? 

PSN Pick | YES

Brock Purdy Passing Yards | 245.5 | O/U -110

This total seems low given Purdy’s playoff average of 254.5 yards per game but then you take a look at what this Kansas City defense has done to some arguably more proflic passers. 

Tua Tagovailoa and Josh Allen were both held under 200 yards and while Lamar Jackson threw for 272, that was more of a symptom of a ground game that was tragically omitted with six total carries from Ravens halfbacks. 

Packers vs. 49ers vs lions super bowl
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) throwing a pass to wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk (11) during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)

Still, sticking to the narrative, I’m envisioning a 49ers squad playing from behind and that means more action for the Purdy cannon. 

PSN Pick | Purdy O/245.5 passing yards

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Purdy Rushing Yards | 12.5 | O/U -110

Purdy hit 48 rushing yards against Detroit, which should be acknowledged as an outlier and only the second time he’s scampered for more than 20 yards in his career. 

Still, since Week 17, opposing quarterbacks are averaging 52 yards rushing per game against a Chiefs defense that’s forcing signal-callers to use their legs against extensive pressure. 

I think adding this to a couple of multi-leg parlays. This feels like a low total and I don’t think we need to worry about Purdy ending the game with a couple of kneel-downs to mess this up.  

PSN Pick | Purdy O/12.5 rushing yards

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As promised, for those of you who had the gambling itch and attention span to make it through this article, we cannot thank you enough. Get ready because…

NEXT UP: I’ve got action on more than one Chiefs tight-end

AP Photo/Matt Slocum