Super Bowl 58 prop bets: How to make money betting on Isaiah Pacheco this weekend

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Isaiah Pacheco Super Bowl
Baltimore Ravens linebacker Patrick Queen (6) hits Kansas City Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco (10) during the second half of an AFC Championship NFL football game, Sunday, Jan. 28, 2024, in Baltimore. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

With Super Bowl 58 now just a few days away, it’s time to start building your betslips for the iconic game. If you’re looking for some good prop bets to make this weekend, you’ve come to the right place. We’re breaking down each star player along with which bets to make and which to avoid.

Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guides

PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Patrick Mahomes
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Travis Kelce
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Brock Purdy

Isaiah Pacheco | Kansas City Chiefs

Isaiah Pacheco Rushing Yards: Over/Under 66.5 (+120/-110)

On the surface, this looks like a really good bet. Pacheco was leaned on heavily during the road to the Super Bowl and has surpassed this total in each of his last 4 games.

However, a vaunted Niners run defense awaits. Pacheco has gone over this total 8 times this season including postseason affairs and it has often largely come down to his usage. He tends to hit at least 60 yards when averaging 15 carries per game, but his average sits at 11.3 per game when including his recent playoff surge.

*His rushing attempts line sits at 16.5. While his recent uptick has been impressive, this is another line to correlate to your game-script. With his season-average sitting at 11.3, there could be room to back the under here.

There is also the possibility that the Niners start out hot and Patrick Mahomes is going to have to put the team on his back and will them to victory with an effort fought largely through the air. This could mean we see more of a dual-threat performance from Pacheco.

Correlate this pick with how you see the game panning out. If the Chiefs start hot and want to keep the ball away from that explosive offense, it should land. But if the Niners get the upper hand early, it will be hard for the Chiefs to lean on an inconsistent run-game against such a great rush defense.


Broncos vs. Chiefs ravens vs chiefs super bowl
Kansas City Chiefs running back Jerick McKinnon (1) is congratulated by Trey Smith, left, and Rashee Rice, right, during the first half of an NFL football game against the Chicago Bears Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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Isaiah Pacheco anytime TD Scorer -120 (1st +650, last +550)

If you combine his 10 rushing scores and 2 through the air, Isaiah Pacheco leads the Chiefs in touchdowns by some distance (Travis Kelce & Rashee Rice tie for 2nd on 8).

San Francisco is one of the better teams in the league at stopping the run, giving up 0.7 rushing touchdowns per game. However, they’re giving up 1.3 scores per game over their last 3, which should highlight some vulnerability for the Chiefs to exploit.

Pacheco is a threat through the air and on the ground, with 50 catches for 271 yards this season on top of his impressive 1,189-yard rushing campaign. If anyone is going to find the endzone, it could well be Kansas City’s leading touchdown scorer looking to pounce on a potentially shaky run defense.

A strong pivot here would be Pacheco to score the first Chiefs touchdown of the game at +260.

PSN Pick | YES

Isaiah Pacheco Receiving yards: Over/under 16.5 -115

With 50 catches for 271 yards on the season, Pacheco has been targeted 55 times in 17 games. His average yards per game sits at 15.94, meaning this total sits right near enough dead-center on an average game from the young running back.

With the Niners giving up 97 rushing yards per game (5th in the NFL), there’s every chance that Andy Reid gets creative in a bid to try and find a way through the otherwise solid unit. He’s only gone over this total 7 times in 2023-24, but there’s every chance he does it again.


Broncos vs. Chiefs eagles Isaiah pacheco
Kansas City Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco (10) runs with the ball as Chicago Bears linebacker T.J. Edwards defends during the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Ed Zurga)
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AP Photo/Alex Brandon