All week, we’re going through prop bets for the Chiefs and 49ers by each position, and we’ve finally made our way to the all-too-dynamic Deebo Samuel. While you’re always one Samuel injury away from adding another crack to your iPhone, we will guide you to eternal glory.
Super Bowl 58 prop bet guides:
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Patrick Mahomes
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Travis Kelce
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Brock Purdy
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Isaiah Pacheco
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop Bet guide: George Kittle
PSN Super Bowl 58 prop bet guide: Noah Gray
Stick around for the end of this article to see which position props we’re looking at next, and if there’s a bet you like that we didn’t mention, let us know on X | @PhiladelphiaSN or @t_orm3!
Super Bowl 58 prop bet guides:
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Patrick Mahomes
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Travis Kelce
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Brock Purdy
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Isaiah Pacheco
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop Bet guide: George Kittle
Deebo Samuel | San Francisco 49ers
Samuel Rushing Yards | 16.5 rushing yards | O/U -110
There is no clear edge here on the O/U, but we can point you in the right direction. 16.5 yards rushing is a lofty total.
Over his last eleven games, Samuel averaged 12.5 rushing yards per game and eclipsed 15 yards just three times. Ultimately, with Christian McCaffery operating as the 49ers’ primary workhorse, Samuel’s been far too unreliable for gamblers. While you can expect some trickery on Sunday, three total carries in the 2023 playoffs don’t inspire confidence.
Even with the Chiefs’ rushing defense allowing a generous 4.5 yards per carry, Samuel likely won’t be the man taking advantage.
PSN Pick | Deebo Samuel U/16.5 rushing yards
Who will catch the first pass | Deebo Samuel (+172) v. Rashee Rice (-215)
We haven’t even seen the coin flip, and you’re getting tremendous odds on Samuel catching a ball before Rashee Rice. On its face, Samuel shouldn’t have almost 2-to-1 odds. I couldn’t believe my eyes – I almost updated my prescription.
Upon further inspection, Rice has averaged 8+ targets in the 2024 playoffs versus Samuel’s 5.5 per game, and throughout the regular season, Rice recorded thirteen more targets than the 49ers’ veteran.
However, against the Ravens, Rice drew 25% of the targets to all receivers, while Samuel, against the Lions, accounted for 30% of the targets. You can argue that San Francisco has more mouths to feed, but Samuel still sees a ton of volume.
While Brandon Auyik and George Kittle may have seen more targets this season, everyone can eat on the 49ers offense, and you’ll still be a winner. So you’re holding your breath if the Chiefs receive the ball first, but I still like the play and juice on this one.
PSN Pick | Deebo Samuel (+172)
Deebo Receiving Yards | 59.5 Receiving Yards | O/U -110
Vegas isn’t giving you any edge on Samuel, so you must tuck this one away in one of your parlays. Because we’re masochists, we’re taking over 59.5 receiving yards for #19.
Over his last six contests, Samuel’s exceeded 50 receiving yards. . . once. That was last week, so we’re riding the recency wave of the wet, hot 2024 NFL playoffs.
The Chiefs defense has only allowed 2x receivers, Zay Flowers and Tyreek Hill, to record 60+ yards receiving this postseason, but I’m still floating the over despite all the information we have available. The more research I do, the more I like the under/everything in this game, but how much fun would I truly have on Sunday?
PSN Pick | Deebo Samuel O/59.5 receiving yards
NEXT UP: we have another wideout coming soon – the other side of the aisle next time.
Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire
