49ers vs Chiefs: Score big with a +950 Same Game Parlay

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Packers vs. 49ers vs lions super bowl 49ers vs chiefs
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) throwing a pass to wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk (11) during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)

49ers vs Chiefs: Super Bowl 58 is finally here and while there are still a few days to go, it means we have plenty of prime to prep our Same Game parlays for this weekend’s game. If you’re looking to sprinkle some spicy props into your SGP’s for Super Bowl 58, you’ve come to the right place.

49ers vs Chiefs: Super Bowl 58 Game info

Date: Sunday, February 11th
Time: 6:30 PM ET
Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
How to watch: CBS, Nickelodeon 

49ers vs Chiefs: Super Bowl 58 Betting info

Spread: San Francisco 49ers -2.5 | Kansas City Chiefs +2.5
Moneyline: San Francisco 49ers -122 | Kansas City Chiefs +102
Total: Over/Under 47.5

Super Bowl 58 prop bet guides: 

PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Patrick Mahomes
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Travis Kelce
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Brock Purdy
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Isaiah Pacheco
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop Bet guide: George Kittle
PSN Super Bowl 58 prop bet guide: Noah Gray
PSN Super Bowl 58 Prop bet guide: Deebo Samuel

Ahead of this week’s 49ers vs Chiefs matchup, here are some props we like bundled into a spicy Same Game Parlay at +950.

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Deebo Samuel UNDER 16.5 rushing yards -105

Eagles 49ers vs ravens super bowl
INGLEWOOD, CA – JANUARY 09: San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel #19 celebrates during an NFL game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Rams on January 9, 2022, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. (Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

The Chiefs have the 17th-ranked run defense in the NFL and that might be dragging this total higher than it should be.

In our ‘Deebo Samuel prop bet’ piece, Tommy Orme highlighted how over his last eleven games, Samuel averaged 12.5 rushing yards per game and eclipsed 15 yards just three times.

With Christian McCaffrey heading up the charge, Deebo’s rushing production has gradually declined. As much as we can bank on some Shanahan trickery at some stage, I think this total is just too high to bet against a season-long trend of Deebo being used almost exclusively as a wideout, even when running motion looks.

Patrick Mahomes to throw 1.5+ touchdowns | YES -165

We backed this earlier in the week and it’s already been chopped down to -165, potentially hinting that some big money is flowing into this as the Super Bowl approached.

Although the 49ers haven’t allowed a first-quarter passing touchdown this postseason, the Detroit Lions were able to assert their authority early.

The Chiefs know that if the Niners are able to dictate the tempo and start hot, fighting off their back foot is hardly going to be easy. I think Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes start this game aggressively, and with guys like Isaiah Pacheco being impactful as a receiver too, Mahomes should be able to find his way to the endzone on a couple of occasions pretty comfortably, regardless of how many yards he’s held to.

Ravens vs chiefs
FILE – Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) reacts during the second half of an NFL AFC division playoff football game against the Buffalo Bills in Orchard Park, N.Y., Sunday, Jan. 21, 2024. Mahomes will start for the Chiefs against the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC championship game Sunday, Jan. 28. (AP Photo/Adrian Kraus, File)
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Christian McCaffrey to score an anytime TD -235

Nfl 49ers vs ravens super bowl
San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) is tackled by Washington Commanders safety Kamren Curl (31) during the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)

This is as simple as it gets. The Chiefs rank 17th against the run. Christian McCaffrey had 18 rushing touchdowns this year along with 7 receiving. That’s absolutely remarkable.

He’s arguably been the biggest game-changer the Niners have had in a decade or so and you can absolutely bet he’s going to be a pivotal figure in Super Bowl 58. It would genuinely be more worrying if he didn’t find the endzone on Sunday, making this one of the safest bets you could find.

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George Kittle under 49.5 receiving yards

49ers vs giants super bowl
SAN FRANCISCO, CA – SEPTEMBER 13: San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (85) looks on during the NFL game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Arizona Cardinals on September 13, 2020, at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by MSA/Icon Sportswire)

This total started at around 46 and has already been pushed close to 50.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has held opposing tight ends to around 40 yards per game this season. Against the impressive Baltimore duo of Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely, they allowed four total receptions for 31 receiving yards. 

Kittle recorded 27 yards against the Lions last time out and with so many playmakers on this San Fran offense, he’s no longer the heart and soul of it. Purdy will need to spread the ball around to beat the Chiefs, and I think we see Kittle bring far more value as a blocker this game.

Take advantage of the inflated total.

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AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein