Miami vs UConn: Betting preview, best bets & Game info for 2023 NCAA Final Four matchup

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San Diego State vs UConn
Connecticut forward Samson Johnson practices for their Final Four college basketball game in the NCAA Tournament on Friday, March 31, 2023, in Houston. Connecticut and Miami play on Saturday. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)

Miami vs UConn: Betting preview, best bets & Game info for 2023 NCAA Final Four matchup

And then there were four. March Madness has been everything we dreamed it would be up to this point and with only three games remaining to decide the eventual NCAA Champion, it’s crunch time. Miami and UConn will lock horns later this evening with a place in the final on the line. Which team has the edge going into the matchup?

Miami vs UConn: Game Info

Who: Miami Vs UConn
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
When: Saturday April 1st, 8:49PM EST
How to watch: TBS

Miami vs UConn betting info

  • Spread: Miami +5.5 | UConn -5.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Miami +196| UConn -240
  • Over/Under: 149.5 (-115)
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Miami vs UConn game preview

The main storyline here is just how dominant UConn is. It ranks 1st in the overall Kenpom metric, with the offense sitting 3rd and defense 11th. Miami’s offense sits 5th with its defense ranking 104th. That not only explains why the total is so high, but tilts the scales heavily in favor of UConn.

Unfortunately, life isn’t that simple, especially as far as March Madness is concerned. Miami has made the Final Four for the first time in School history and has done so in spectacular fashion, knocking off both a #1 and #2 seed in Houston and Texas. The Canes fear nobody and with Jordan Miller playing at such an elite level, this team simply cannot be overlooked.

Miami is only giving up around 71 points per game which in itself is stunning given how wobbly its defense has been this season. Opponents are finding success from beyond the 3-point line, which is a worry against UConn, especially as far as Jordan Hawkins is concerned, but even so, Miami’s ability to win the rebounding battle has been the difference so far.

That could be the key tonight. Adama Sanogo is averaging 7.5 boards per contest, while Norchad Omier is picking up nearly 14 per matchup in the NCAA Tournament. This is the battle that could well dictate not just the tempo of the game, but the overall victor.

Miami vs UConn
Miami guard Jordan Miller practices for their Final Four college basketball game in the NCAA Tournament on Friday, March 31, 2023, in Houston. Connecticut and Miami play on Saturday. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)

Miami vs UConn prediction

This total is absurdly high. Yes, these are two stellar offenses, but Miami’s D has proven itself worthy of holding up against the best the nation has to offer. With a place in the final on the line, I expect nerves, some aggressive 3-point attempts early, and a scrappy pace of play which could see this total drop to the low 140’s.

Betting pick: Total points under 147

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March madness
INDIANAPOLIS, IN – MARCH 9: A March Madness sign displayed on I-465 interstate before the 2021 NCAA Men’s Final Four as seen on March 9, 2021 in Indianapolis, IN. (Photo by Brian Spurlock/Icon Sportswire)

AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack