San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic: Betting preview, best bets & Game info for 2023 NCAA Final Four matchup

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic
Creighton center Ryan Kalkbrenner (11) moves the ball against San Diego State forward Jaedon LeDee (13) in the first half of a Elite 8 college basketball game in the South Regional of the NCAA Tournament, Sunday, March 26, 2023, in Louisville, Ky. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic: Betting preview, best bets & Game info for 2023 NCAA Final Four matchup

And then there were four. March Madness has been nothing short of thrilling so far and we only have two games between now and crowning a champion. Florida Atlantic is the lowest-seed remaining in the NCAA Tournament and will be hoping to keep the fairytale alive with a win over San Diego State.

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic: Game Info

Who: San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
When: Saturday April 1st, 6:10PM EST
How to watch: TBS

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic betting info

  • Spread: San Diego State -3 | Florida Atlantic +3 (-115)
  • Moneyline: San Diego State -160 | Florida Atlantic +135
  • Over/Under: 131.5 (-115)
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San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic game preview

FAU comes into this game as the #9 seed and although instinct would tell you that the Aztecs have an advantage, the reality is far from that straight-forward. FAU has a KemPom offensive ranking of 24th, while SDSU ranks 75th. However, the Aztecs rank 3rd on defense while FAU sits 30th. With the battle of Fire and Ice set to commence, this could well be a game headlined by one individual breakout performance.

From a Florida perspective, the fact they turned it over 22 times in the win over Kansas Sate and still won says all you need to know. They shot 48% from the field and were deadly from beyond the arc. provided that they’re a little more buttoned up this time out, the real concern will be free-throw conversions, where the team ranks a shocking 205th. We’ve seen the Whack-a-Mole tactic work wonders before and if you can send a team to the line who struggled from the charity stripe, especially late on, it could heavily favor SDSU.

Speaking of the Aztecs, their defense needs no introduction. They held the Blue Jays to just 23 second-half points in their most recent win, emulating the dominance displayed against Alabama in the Sweet 16. In theory, they should have few issues keeping that form going against the Owls, but anything can happen in March…

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic’s Giancarlo Rosado holds the trophy as Florida Atlantic players celebrate after defeating Kansas State in an Elite 8 college basketball game in the NCAA Tournament’s East Region final, Saturday, March 25, 2023, in New York. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic prediction

The total for this game sits at 131 but I think it has the potential to drop into the high 120’s. If FAU fail to stay hot from the field, they’ll find it tricky to undo the Aztecs defense and their lowly conversion rate from the charity stripe should send this comfortably under the 131 total.

Betting pick: Total points under 131

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March madness
INDIANAPOLIS, IN – MARCH 9: A March Madness sign displayed on I-465 interstate before the 2021 NCAA Men’s Final Four as seen on March 9, 2021 in Indianapolis, IN. (Photo by Brian Spurlock/Icon Sportswire)

AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack