The Wyndham Championship: Betting preview & predictions

Wyndham Championship
Justin Thomas tees off on the second hole during the second round at the 3M Open golf tournament at the Tournament Players Club Friday, July 28, 2023, in Blaine, Minn. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)

The PGA Tour is back for the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield. With Fed-Ex Cup playoff positions and Korn Ferry Tour implications, this promises to be a thrilling weekend of action.

Sedgefield & The Wyndham Championship

The Wyndham Championship has been a PGA Tour event since 1938 and Sedgefield is a course with a ton of 400-450 yard par 4’s. It demands strong wedge play and accurate mid-range irons. Expect plenty of low-scoring rounds at a premium ball-striker’s playground.

The favorites at the Wyndham Championship

Hideki Matsuyama+1800
Russell Henley+2000
Si Woo Kim+2200
Sungjae Im+2200
Denny McCarthy+2500
Sam Burns+2800
Shane Lowry+3000
Adam Scott+3500
J.T Poston+3500
Justin Thomas+4000

Hideki Matsuyama strides into this event as the favorite at +1800. He’s had 3 top-30 finishes in his last 4 events, with one being a 13th place finish at The Open. He ended up gaining the 6th most strokes Tee-to-green of anyone last week and he continues to build on what has been a very solid 2023 campaign. It’s hard not to like him here.

Wyndham championship
HOUSTON, TX – NOVEMBER 12: Hideki Matsuyama (JPN) watches his tee shot on 15 during Rd3 of the Cadence Bank Houston Open at Memorial Park Golf Course on November 12, 2022 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Ken Murray/Icon Sportswire)

Backing Russell Henley to win the Wyndham Championship feels like an alien practice, but he’s performed well at the Wyndham Championship for three consecutive years and has been making the most of events with ‘weaker fields’ this year. He came 16th at The Memorial and 14th at the U.S Open, proving that he can also go toe-to-toe with the elite. He has 6 top-20 finishes in his last 7 events and figures to be in the mix here, giving some value over Hideki Matsuyama.

Shane Lowry is a very interesting play at +3000. He was one of the fan-favorites coming into The Open after a heroic round 4 saw him surge into the top-15 at The Scottish Open. Before The Open, he hadn’t missed a cut since the Travellers Championship, with a lowest finish of 43rd. With a Playoff spot on the line, he simply has to perform. There’s a condensed field and Lowry has been in and around the top-20 for most of this season. He could be worth a punt.

Three Wyndham Championship wildcards

Matt Kuchar (+9000) has been one of my favorite players to bet since discovering PGA Tour betting, but he’s done me dirty this year. That could change at a course that suits his skillset. He’s an incredible short-game player and thrives on Bermuda greens.

Chris Kirk (+5000) is also another play I’ve deployed countless times this year. He won the Honda Classic not too long ago and he’s been one of the most accurate players off the tee all year. On a course that demands precision, Kirk should thrive. He ranks 38th on approach and 13th in stokes gained around the green, so if he can continue to put himself in good spots off the tee, he should go well.

Finally, I love J.T Poston (+3500) this week. He’s won this event in the past and has been absolutely stunning in recent months. He ranks 1st of anyone in the 75-100 yard approach bucket and is gaining on the field with the flat stick. That’s all you need to do to win around here.

Photo by Matthew Maxey/Icon Sportswire