PGA Tour betting: Top-five golfers to bet at the AT&T Byron Nelson

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Justin Thomas hits from the bunker on the third hole during third round of the Wells Fargo Championship golf tournament at the Quail Hollow Club on Saturday, May 6, 2023, in Charlotte, N.C. (AP Photo/Erik Verduzco)
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The PGA Tour heads to one final stop before the PGA Championship – the AT&T Byron Nelson. Here are my five best value bets ahead of the event.

Wyndham Clark won last week’s Wells Fargo Championship at +6600, proving that there is always some value to be had on the PGA Tour.

Chad Ramey

To win: +25000
Top-5: +4500
Top-10: +1600

When it comes to putting, TPC Craig Ranch ranks 7th on tour this season in terms of value. Chad Ramey ranks third in the entire field in that metric and seems to be heating up. He came 35th this past weekend and 9th at the Zurich Classic.

He gained 7 shots on approach this past week, which is huge considering how inconsistent that area of his game is. If Ramey has finally broken through, he could be a great play at these odds.

Hideki Matsuyama

To win +1800
Top-5: +400
Top-10: +175

2022 was a bumpy year for Hideki Matsuyama, but the former Masters Champion seems to finally be getting back to his best. He’s had two top-20’s in a row and is somewhat of a course specialist at TPC Craig Ranch.

He’s placed inside the top-40 in each of his last 4 competitions here and came 3rd in 2022. In what is a fairly weak field, getting Matsuyama at +1800 feels like strong value, especially if he can get the putter working. He lost over 2 strokes to the field last week but has gained strokes to the field 7 times this season. If he bounces back, he could be a viable contender come Sunday.

Matt Kuchar

To win: +2500
Top-5: +550
Top-10: +260

If you want to back a putting specialist this week, there may be no better player than Matt Kuchar. Not only has he consistently been one of the best short-game players in the field, but it feels like he’s on the cusp of a big win.

He’s had 4 top-25’s in a row, and has finished inside the top-17 in 3 of his last 4 PGA Tour events at this course. Kuch ranks 7th in strokes-gained total this year and this could prove to be the perfect launchpad to an elusive 10th PGA Tour win.

K.H Lee

To win: +2200
Top-5: +500
Top-10: +240

It’s hard not to mention K.H Lee here. He’s won this PGA Tour event TWICE in a row and is chasing an incredibly rare three-peat at the AT&T Byron Nelson. It’s hard to argue against his form around this course, and it’s even harder to dispute his recent level of play.

Lee has finished inside the top-40 in 4 of his last 5 events and is coming off the back of an 8th-place finish last week. A player finding his stride just as he enters a venue he’s been victorious two years in a row at? It’s a perfect storm.

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Jordan Spieth hits from the bunker on the 13th hole during a practice round for the PGA Championship golf tournament, Tuesday, May 17, 2022, in Tulsa, Okla. (AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki)

Scott Stallings

To win: +5500
Top-5: +1100
Top-10: +500

Finally, we dive back into the bargain bucket. Scott Stallings has 3 top-25 finishes in his last 4 runnings here and made 3 consecutive cuts prior to his last event. He’s not a huge gainer in any metric, but this a significantly weaker field than most with the PGA Championship just around the corner and his well-rounded game may fair well around this course.

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