The PGA Tour is firing on all cylinders as we head to Pebble Beach for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. The field is stacked going into Thursday’s opening round and for bettors, that means there is plenty of value to be found.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Field overview
The Field features a top-heavy field in comparison to the opening events of the year. Matt Fitzpatrick makes his return after a 7th-place finish at the Sentry of Champions and came 6th here last year. If you want a man with strong event history though, Jordan Spieth is your man.
Spieth is the tied-favorite going into the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and with good reason. He’s had 3 top-10 finishes here in a row and all five of his last attempts here ended in top-50 finishes. His stunning missed cut at the Sony Open (after leading the first round) should be the obvious outlier here, but it hasn’t hampered his price whatsoever.
Tom Hoge is an interesting name to watch here. He won this event last year and came 2nd at last year’s AmEx event. He’s had an impressive start to 2023, leading the entire field on approach and ranking 3rd in total strokes-gained.
A slightly deeper play could be Trey Mullinax, who at +6000 is coming off of a 31st-placed finish last week, and has 3 top-50 finishes here, as well as 2 inside the top 30. He’s not the best fit for this type of course as a longer hitter who struggles around the greens, but he seems to be comfortable plotting his way around.
Where to find value in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
To win: +10000
I loved playing Lanto last season but he seemed to tail off and later had back surgery. He’s burst back onto the scene this year and has back-to-back top 20’s at Pebble Beach. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Griffin shine once more here.
To win: +11000
If you just want to go off of course form, there may be none better than Merritt. He has four top-25 finishes in his last four starts here and came 4th in 2022. He’s had a very cold start to the season, but where better to heat up than a place you historically play well at?
To win: +5500
Griffin’s surge up the tour rankings has been a surprise to some, but his sustained form over the past month has been nothing short of exceptional. He’s yet to crack the top-10, but you want to be on the right side of this bet because once he does, the days of 50/1 prices will likely be long gone.
Betting prediction for The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
You can’t go far wrong with one of Jordan Spieth, Viktor Hovland, or Tom Hoge, but if you want value, then Lanto Griffin has to be the go-to guy. He thrives in all the right metrics but comes with a higher upside than most due to his higher odds. There’s no reason he can’t go all the way at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am offers
Photo by Douglas Stringer/Icon Sportswire