PGA Tour: best bets ahead of the Wells Fargo Championship

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PEBBLE BEACH, CA – FEBRUARY 06: Matthew Fitzpatrick blasts out of the front bunker of the 18th hole green during the Final Round of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am tournament at Pebble Beach Golf Course in Monterey, California.(Photo by Douglas Stringer/Icon Sportswire)
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The PGA Tour heads to TPC Potomac this weekend for the Wells Fargo Championship and brings with it a stronger field than we saw in the Mexico Open. John Rahm won’t be competing this week, but there are plenty of appealing options for bettors to back when scanning the field. Here are five of the strongest options:

Corey Conners

To win: +1600
Top-5: +300
Top-10: +170

Conners is red hot right now and has finished 12th or better in 4 of his last 6 events. He ranks 6th in strokes gained off the tee and 24th in approach shots from between 100-125 yards. Conners has now gained shots of the tee in eight consecutive events and around a course where three-putting is lower than average, we don’t need him to be a sniper on the greens. So long as he can find the flag from range, which he does consistently, then Conners should be in with a shout come Sunday.

Matt Fitzpatrick

To win: +2000
Top-5: +400
Top-10: +200

I’m happy to ‘buy the dip’ here on Fitz. He was piping hot before the RBC Heritage, where momentum was promptly knocked out of his sails, but don’t let that distract you from what has otherwise been a tremendous season so far. In the run-up to Augusta and even during, he was easily among the best golfers in the field and that should continue here. He ranks third in strokes-gained total and has been very reliable off the tee while aggressive in going pin-seeking from longer distances. A course as long as this, it should lend itself to the Englishman’s skillset very nicely.

Max Homa

To win: +2800
Top-5: +600
Top 10: +300

If Homa can get the putter working for him, watch out. Despite having lost strokes on the green in four straight events, he’s been brilliant off the tee and on approach this year and has three consecutive top-50 finishes. If he can just have one weekend as a neutral putter, a top-20 finish should be very achievable and this is a course where the value of putting isn’t as high as getting the ball on the dancefloor safely to begin with. Max has gained on approach in six straight events, 4 of which being over 1.97 per round.

Francesco Molinari

To win: +10000
Top-5: +1600
Top-10: +800

Molinari has won at this course before, back in 2016 by a blistering score of -21 during his stunning summer run. He’s not the longest off the tee, but he’s accurate and there is a lot of rough surrounding these fairways. If Molinari can land in comfortable spaces off the tee, then he’s the type of golfer who can get it to the green relatively easily. As a former winner at this course and someone who’s also came 8th here before, it’s hard not to take a punt on those long odds.

Abraham Ancer

To win: +3500
Top 5: +600
Top-10: +330

Believe it or not, Ancer actually owns the course record here which he set during his 4th place finish at the 2018 Quicken Loans National. On a course where you want success off the tee, there may be no better play than Ancer. The man is a human homing missile, just look at where he ranks on approach going into this weekend:

Approach 75-100: 3
Approach 125-150: 15
Approach 150-175: 3
Approach 200-225: 21

He’s lost a lot of speed around the greens this year, but if he can bounce back somewhat, then he’s got every chance of succeeding this weekend.

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Photo by Douglas Stringer/Icon Sportswire