Ravens vs Bengals: Same-Game-Parlay for Wildcard Day
The NFL playoffs have arrived, and we’re starting in the AFC North because Sunday Night Football on NBC will feature a familiar matchup: the Baltimore Ravens visiting the Bengals in Cincinnati.
The Baltimore Ravens are likely without starting quarterback Lamar Jackson, and that’s all been reflected in a line that started at -6.5 and has jumped to -8.5 for the Bengals.
Points aside, we’ve tried to put together a nice little player prop, Same-Game-Parlay, that will land you +1578 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook. Take a look.
Baltimore Ravens (10-7) @ Cincinnati Bengals (12-4)
Ravens vs Bengals: Game Details:
- Location: Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
- Time: Sunday, January 15th at 8:15 p.m. ET
- Channel: NBC
Ravens vs Bengals: Betting Stats:
- MONEYLINE: BAL ML (+330), CIN ML (-410)
- SPREAD: CIN -8.5
- OVER/UNDER: 40.5
Leg 1: Joe Mixon – o/24.5 Receiving Yards; -114 odds
We start with Mixon, and it’s not as a runner, which has been an underwhelming proposal in 2022.
The All-Pro halfback has only eclipsed 100 yards rushing just once this season, and his 3.9 yards per carry just haven’t gotten it done for the pass-happy Bengals, but even with Samaje Perine as a bad actor on passing downs, Mixon’s done plenty of damage as a receiver.
In eight of his fourteen total games, Mixon’s recorded at least 30 yards receiving, including 41 yards last week in the same matchup.
This has been a soft spot for the Baltimore defense, and on average, the Ravens allow 42.6 yards per game to opposing halfbacks, so we start our parlay with something Mixon would have covered nine times already this season.
Leg 2: Joe Burrow – o/12.5 Rushing Yards; -114 odds
One thing to consider, especially following the loss of tackle La’el Collins, is that Burrow will also be without starting guard Alex Cappa. According to PFF, Cappa grades 71.4 in pass blocking and is 22nd of 78 guards that qualify in the NFL.
That’s a significant blow to an offensive line that remained relatively healthy and consistent up until the loss of Collins. While I’m confident Burrow will eclipse his o/265.5 passing yards total against the NFL’s 7th worst secondary, I really like his rushing total.
Burrow averages 16.1 rushing yards per game, and with some critical pieces missing up front, we may see the LSU grad running for his life. Burrow covers this total 38% of the time this season.
Leg 3: Joe Burrow – o/265.5 Passing Yards; -114 odds
A little bit of foreshadowing above, but I think Burrow cleans up on Sunday Night.
The Ravens’ defense hasn’t had a quarterback eclipse 250 passing yards since Week 14. That’s a nice little stat until you look at the group they’ve faced over the last five games: Burrow (messing around), Kenny Pickett, Desmond Ridder, 2022 Deshaun Watson, and Mitchell Trubisky.
Burrow has averaged 277.1 yards per game since Week 11. No brainer.
Leg 3: J.K. Dobbins – Anytime Touchdown; +210 odds
I really like Dobbins to cover o/61.5 yards rushing, but we need to spice this SGP up a bit.
Not only will Dobbins look to be the lone featured back, but he’ll be relatively fresh following his voluntary DNP in Week 18. I think it will be hard for the Ravens to score, but Dobbins is the most likely, according to Vegas anyway.
The Bengals have allowed .52 touchdowns to opponents’ halfbacks per game, so I like Dobbins as the coin flip for juicing your odds.
So that’s our +1578 same-game parlay for Ravens vs Bengals. How are you betting this weekend’s action?
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Photo by Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire
