Brock Purdy has taken the nation by storm as Geno Smith looks for redemption following the most disappointing performance of his resurgent 2022.
So drop an NFC West rivalry in your cart with the blueberries and batteries before your Amazon checkout because Thursday Night Football is back to kick off Week 15 of the NFL.
Right now, when you bet a minimum of $5 on any NFL team’s Moneyline wager, you’ll receive $150 if you’re right. Seahawks or 49ers – all you need to do is pick the winner. Sounds easy enough?
How to claim this exciting Draftkings Promo Code
- CLICK THIS LINK or any link on this page and sign up for Draftkings
- Make your first deposit
- Place a $5 bet on any pre-game Moneyline for Seahawks v. 49ers
- If your bet wins, you’ve just earned $150 to play with for the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday
You must be 21+ And live in one of the following states: NY, AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MD, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, or WV.
Seahawks v. 49ers – Amazon Thursday Night Football – 8:15 pm
The Spread: -3.5 49ers (+100) / +3.5 Seattle (-120)
When these teams last met, any level of Seattle of success was just a twinkle in Pete Carroll‘s eye. San Francisco quickly covered their -8.5 point advantage with a 27-10 victory. That was Week 2, and much has changed.
The 49ers have a new quarterback and a new toy in Christian McCaffery, while Seattle’s watching their playoff hopes slowly dwindle. The 49ers have covered the spread four weeks in a row, all as favorites, and they’ll be favored on the road Thursday.
In 2022, away favorites are 35-46-3 ATS, and of the possible designations, away favorites have covered the least, which ain’t great.
Right now, the 49ers have a ton of juice but aren’t we all waiting for the Purdy Party to end? At the very least, it’ll be the rookie’s first-ever road start, and they’ll be sans Deebo Samuel, which should limit this offense significantly.
Since Week 8, the favorite has covered just once on Amazon’s Broadcast. It’s enough to drive Al Micheals to drink and enough for me to back Seattle as underdogs.
Seahawks v. 49ers points total: O/U 43.5 (-110)
Seattle’s averaged 26.4 points per game over their last five contests, which pales in comparison to the 49ers’ 34 PPG since Purdy stepped in, albeit through just two games.
But I won’t rely on the Niners’ offense to three-peat without Samuel, a banged-up McCaffery, and a rookie quarterback in one of the loudest stadiums in the NFL.
Many gambling addicts before me have famously never touched the under because it’s just less fun. That said, if you’ve been riding the under in 2022, you’ve been right 54.3% of the time.
It already looks like the public’s hitting the over, so we fade the public.
Seahawks v. 49ers: The Verdict
All of a sudden, you’re getting great odds on the 49ers to cover at +100, but I won’t let it sway me. I’m taking Seattle +3.5 at -110, but we will add some hot sauce.
Although 43.5 certainly isn’t many points, it’s right in line with the 49ers’ o/u average of 42.9 for the season, and they’ve been about 50/50 on hitting the over.
I genuinely don’t expect a shootout. Quite the opposite. This game could slowly morph into a slog of handoffs and third-down sacks.
You can run the ball on Seattle’s 31st-ranked rush defense, and I would bet (in fact, I am) the Seahawks are careful with Smith against the vicious pass rush of San Francisco. If Kenneth Walker II does play, that only helps Seattle despite San Fran’s defense remaining the only team in the NFL not to allow at least 1,000 rushing yards.
If I haven’t made myself clear, we’re scuba diving.
The ‘Don’t Brock the House, the House Will Brock You Back’ Parlay of the Week: Seattle +3.5 & u/43.5 – +250 or $10 to win $25.