Betting the Birds: Jalen Hurts moving the needle in MVP markets

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PHILADELPHIA, PA – DECEMBER 19: Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) celebrates his touchdown during the game between the Washington Football Team and the Philadelphia Eagles on December 21, 2021 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire)

Jalen Hurts is seeing his name thrown around media circles in conflicting reports, but as far as the betting markets are concerned, the sentiment is overwhelmingly positive.

Around this time last month, we took a look at some of the NFL Futures markets to see how Vegas viewed the Eagles once the Draft had settled. OTA’s are now over and the odds on most Eagles markets were tumbling at the time. Just how positive is the public perception of the Birds? Let’s find out.

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The Odds for this article have been taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Jalen Hurts for MVP +2000

Previously: +2500, +3000

Despite what sources may be telling Derrick Gunn, Vegas isn’t phased. Jalen Hurts was 30/1 to win the MVP Award at the beginning of the offseason. A $100 bet now would net you $1,000 less than it would’ve if you had bet on Hurts to win the award back then.

Regardless of whether you’re bullish on Jalen Hurts or slightly hesitant, it appears as if the big money isn’t ready to let value slip them by. If Hurts has a strong start to the year, it won’t be long before those odds crash down into the low 1000’s.

Super Bowl winners (+2500)

Before: +2800, +4000

The fact that the odds have nearly halved since they were first unveiled is staggering. Yes, the Eagles have had a brilliant offseason, and sure, there are a billion reasons to be excited. But this is still a very young team, with a developmental QB in Jalen Hurts. The fact that there is such a bullish sentiment by bettors on their immediate future is beyond encouraging, but it also means the longer you leave it, the more the odds may drop.

It’s not about whether or not the Eagles win it all, it’s about getting the price while it’s high.

Most receiving yards

A.J Brown +2500(Previous +3500)
DeVonta Smith +5000 (Previous +7500)

DeVonta Smith has seen the bigger drop of the two and it is relatively hard to see either leading the league in receiving due to the presence of the other. Smitty is going to take targets from Brown and vice versa, but the fact that both wideouts are seeing their odds tumble is worth noting.

NFC East winners : +165

Before: +200, +250

This is perhaps the most important one. The Eagles were thought to be clear second-place candidates. But as Washington continued to spiral out of control, the Giants…existed, and the Cowboys appeared to stagnate, it’s clear all the momentum lies with Philadelphia.

The price is down nearly 50% compared to where it was when the odds first opened. Getting in sooner rather than later has to be the motive here, especially given Philly’s early season slate of opponents.

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Photo by Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire