The PGA Tour rolls on to the Colonial Country Club this week as the road to the U.S Open continues. Justin Thomas was able to pull off a remarkable win at the PGA Championship, but could we see an underdog steal the glory this weekend? Here are top-5 deep value betting picks who could do just that.
You can get a $200 free bet just for signing up to DraftKings and betting $5 using the link below. If you’d backed Justin Thomas with that $5 and $200 free bet last week, it would’ve netted a $3,500 return.
To win: +5000
Brian Harman graded out as my 8th-best golfer and is +6500 to win the event. While that is unlikely, he’s had a tremendous record at this course, registering 3 top-10’s and 6 top-25’s. Oh, and he’s also the third-most accurate driver off the tee in this field. I LOVE this pick.
It’s not often you get someone who has not only won this event in the past, but placed inside the top-20 on three of his four tournaments here, at a price of +6500. While betting him to win may not be a YOLO play, getting 5/1 on a top-10 finish absolutely is.
Rose grades out as my 8th best fit for this weekend and has been putting pretty solidly this season. He spoke recently about wanting to win more silverware and there’s no better place than a course he knows inside out.
Denny was a late addition to the PGA Championship after Bryson DeChambeau’s withdrawal and he still managed to make the cut and finish in 48th place. One of the tour’s best putters, McCarthy typically struggles on approach and makes up for it around the green. What’s encouraging here is the fact he ranks T-20th in driving accuracy. If he can find fairways and limit the damage of his struggling approach play just as he did this past weekend, he could be a really cheap punt at a top-20 finish.
McNealy has quietly emerged as a really solid betting option in recent weeks. He has a previous top-20 here and 3 top-35 finishes in his past 4 events, with the punishing PGA Championship stopping that run. He grades out as my 11th-best course fit and at this sort of price, is absolutely worth taking a shot on given his success both recently and historically around similar courses.
A sneaky vet at 400-1 who is having a solid season by his standards and has performed well here in the past? Count me in for a longshot play. You can’t get hurt jumping out of the bottom floor window and his performance at the Valspar really sticks out as a potential ceiling here. Is Donald going to win? Probably not, but if you want a lotto ticket, he’s your best bet.
Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire