Liam and Ricky were back at it this week, and are ready to spread the love, some may say. There is a lot on the line in some crucial matchups (i.e. the Eagles’ game) in week 15, so we wanted to help you make as educated as picks as possible. Liam provided some flame and a deep stats dive, as Ricky provided his typical prop pick extravaganza.
We have each compiled our best bet of the week, and also have picks galore in this week’s latest podcast. As the NFL season begins to come to a close, make sure to subscribe to PSN Radio as we will be continuing to give you our best picks of the week.
Eagles at Cardinals- 4:05 PM EST
Last week, we all watched the Philadelphia Eagles upset the New Orleans Saints. The team looked to have found a new identity, as Miles Sanders and Jalen Hurts each ran for over 100 yards. The Cardinals on the other hand have been trending down recently, going 2-4 since their bye week in week 9. Last week, Arizona’s pass rush dominated the Giants offensive line. On the season, Arizona has 37 sacks (sixth-most). On the flip side, no team in football has allowed its QB to get sacked more than Philly, as they have given up 53 sacks on the season.
Along with this, Arizona has struggled to contain rushing QBs this season, allowing 316 total yards rushing to opposing quarterbacks (sixth-most in the NFL). As we saw last week, Hurts was running for his life, which should continue this week with Arizona’s strong defensive line.
Eagles Stink on the Road, as Cardinals Thrive at Home
Arizona averages more than 30 points per home game – near a 5-point jump in production compared to road outings. The Eagles allow an average of more than 27 points per game on the road and have gone 19-8 Over/Under in the franchise’s last 27 games as a road underdog.*
*stats courtesy of https://www.covers.com/nfl/eagles-vs-cardinals-week-15-picks-predictions-december-20-2020*
As always, I am completely over betting Eagles’ spreads since I am an Eagles’ fan. However, there is great value on Jalen Hurts rushing yards, as all of the stars align to him going over that number.
Bets of the Week:
Liam:
My best bet on the podcast was actually the Bills -6 over Denver. Since that sailed in on smooth seas, I now have to look elsewhere and am turning my attention to Detroit vs Tennessee. The Titans are -9.5 favorites here and are in need of a statement win to retain the lead in the divisional race.
This is the kind of game where Derrick Henry can run riot. Detroit are giving up 132.8 yards on the ground per game, while the former Alabama running back is coming off of a staggering 215-yard outing against the Jags. Tennessee won’t want to play aggressively here. They know a win is all they need and if they can jump out to an early need, expect a heavy dosage of Henry in order to dominate possession and keep Matt Stafford doing nothing but watch from the sideline as the Lions’ defense gets trampled.
BEST BET: Titans -9.5
Ricky:
The Poor Jets… they’re worse to watch than the Eagles
I am on a six game winning streak since starting to bet double results. These have been on fire, and have had one of the highest win rates for me in my betting career. Here’s a brief breakdown of the pick, but more detailed analysis is in the podcast below:
It would be tough to touch a spread as high as this one. Asking the (at times) inconsistent Rams to win by three scores is not something that I want to partake in. However, I won’t bore you with a stat breakdown for both teams, the Rams have Super Bowl aspirations while the Jets are the worst NFL team in recent memory.
New York has 13 losses on the season, and in those 13 games, its opponents have won the first half (and the game) in 11 of them. Miami Vegas and Seattle have won me some money last week with a double-result win (win first half and game) against the Jets and we’re going back with what works in Week 15
BEST BET: Rams to win both halves
MORE BETS!
For some more of our best bets this week, make sure to check out the Spreading the Love podcast at the link below:
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/psn-radio/id1531387714?i=1000502947876
The best part is, you can bet for basically free as well! Thanks to our partners over at Pointsbet, you can get two risk free bets for up to $1500. That’s right, you can get TWO RISK-FREE BETS!!!! by signing up using the link below, courtesy of Spreadin’ the Love Podcast and PSN. Just click the link below and sign up, and you can place a risk-free same game parlay using our picks above (or fading them, if you don’t believe us).
Photo by Kyle Ross/Icon Sportswire
