Sony Open: PGA Tour betting preview & Predictions

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Sony open
PEBBLE BEACH, CA – FEBRUARY 06: Matthew Fitzpatrick blasts out of the front bunker of the 18th hole green during the Final Round of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am tournament at Pebble Beach Golf Course in Monterey, California.(Photo by Douglas Stringer/Icon Sportswire)

The PGA Tour is back and after a stunning end to the Tournament of Champions, we now head to the Sony Open, in Hawaii for a weekend of action at the Waialae Country Club. Here is your ultimate betting guide for the event.

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Sony Open: The field

Matt Fitzpatrick+1600
Ludvig Aberg+1600
Tyrell Hatton+1800
Russell Henley+2000
Brian Harman+2000
Corey Conners+2200
Chris Kirk+2500
Eric Cole+2800
Sahith Theegala+3000
J.T Poston+3000

Matt Fitzpatrick comes into the Sony Open as a joint-favorite with wonderkid Ludvig Aberg. While backing Fitz needs no convincing, Aberg’s rapid ascent up to 32nd in the world might. However, a storming -10 round on the final day of the Sentry was enough to earn him a 47th-placed finish.

Aberg was a key feature on Europe’s Ryder Cup team this past Summer. He shocked many unfamiliar with his game, as the 24-year-old Suede had been a regular top-20 finisher on tour during his rookie campaign. Now he’s acclimatized with the schedule and the American style of courses, it feels like only a matter of time before he nets his first tour win.

Sony open
MEMPHIS, TN – AUGUST 07: Will Zalatoris hits a shot during the third round of the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, August 7, 2021 at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee. (Photo by Matthew Maxey/Icon Sportswire)

It’s interesting to see Corey Conners sitting at +2200. He had this exact same price last year before finishing 34th. He also picked up his second-ever tour win last season during a hot run of form. Things started out pretty strong for Conners this past week at the Sentry, so he’ll be hoping to build on that.

Strong putters have typically thrived here, which means it could be time to turn to a guy like Eric Cole, who was second on tour in Strokes Gained putting last year. If he can get hot with the flat stick, there’s no reason he won’t shine this week.

Where to find value in the Sony Open

Will Zalatoris

To win: +5000
Top-5: +500
Top-10: +1100

Will Zalatoris missed a huge chunk of last season due to a surgery and it came at the worst possible time. He ended the 2022 season with a huge win after being the bridesmaid but never the bride oh-so many times. While it would be a tall order to expect him to win, would anyone really be surprised to see him soar back to where he belongs at the top of the leaderboard?

Matt Kuchar

To win: +5000
Top-5: +500
Top-10: +110

Betting on Matt Kuchar is an imperfect science. But he remains one of the best players on tour around the green, and if there’s ever a player who can quietly sneak into the top-10, it’s a man who came 7th at this tournament one year ago. There’s some real value on Kuch, who often gets buried in the odds due to his lack of distance, age, and overall star power. But he is still a real ace to sneak onto your betting slip.

Sony open
PONTE VEDRA BEACH, FL – MARCH 13: Brian Harman of the United States hits a drive at the 15th hole during the weather delayed completion of the second round of THE PLAYERS Championship on the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass on March 13, 2022 in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire)

Tom Hoge

To win: +8000
Top-5: +700
Top-10: +1600

Hoge missed the cut at the Sony Open last year, but he ended 2022 with 5 top-13s in his last 7 events. He’s a prolific ball striker who could very easily play himself into contention this weekend. There’s a lot of value here on a player who has clearly been trending in the right direction over the last 12 months.

Betting prediction for the Sony Open

It’s hard not to love Ludvig Aberg, who has become one of the PGA Tour’s brightest young stars. While the price is short, I think it’s better to be early than late before Vegas catches up to his price.

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Sony Open betting offers

Photo by Douglas Stringer/Icon Sportswire