Jaguars vs Ravens: Week 15’s Sunday Night Football bout could have some serious playoff implications. The Jaguars will be facing a 10-win Ravens team and the margin for error is small. A loss could potentially give the Texans and Colts a path to the top of the AFC South. With pressure building, can they upset a dominant Baltimore team?
Jaguars vs Ravens: Game info
Date: Sunday, December 17th
Time: 8:20 PM ET
Location: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville
TV channel: NBC, NFL+
Jaguars vs Ravens: Betting odds
Spread: Ravens -3.5 | Jaguars +3.5
Moneyline: Ravens -180 | Jaguars +150
Total: Over/Under 42
Lamar Jackson under 48.5 rushing yards
The Jaguars are at home and have the 4th best-rushing defense in the entire league. While Lamar Jackson is a truly game-breaking player, he’s only gone over this total in 6 of 13 games in 2023.
There’s no doubting that Jackson is going to be a threat on the ground, but the Jags should be able to hold him below his ‘average’ rushing yards per game, which is 49.5. The total is a little over that, so even Vegas is refusing to accept that the former MVP is likely to explode over this total.
Travis Etienne over 53.5 rushing yards
On the flip side, the Ravens have a relentless pass defense (4th in the NFL), while their run D unit ranks 12th. The Jags won’t be able to pass all over Baltimore in the way that Trevor Lawrence has at times this season, nor would he want to.
The gameplan has to be to keep Baltimore off the field, which means dominating the time of possession and limiting risky plays. This should lend itself very nicely to Travis Etienne, who ranks 5th in the NFL in rushing yards this season.
Etienne is averaging 62 yards per game. Vegas is pricing in a slower game for the Jags running back, giving us 9 yards worth of value on this line in a game where he should be a focal point of the offense.
Odell Beckham Jr over 37.5 receiving yards
OBJ has been rolling back the years as of late. He has 3 touchdowns in his last 5 games and has 11 receptions in his last 3 along with 247 yards. Those yards have come against some stout defenses too, such as Cincy and Los Angeles.
Beckham is rapidly becoming the #2 target in this offense behind Zay Flowers, and a consistent rise in targets and receptions give us some firm conviction to back his total here.
OBJ has gone over this total in 5 of his last 6 games. I have no problem backing him to do so once again.
Over 42.5 total points
This feels like a pretty modest total given the caliber of offenses taking the field. I know that the Ravens have an elite defense, but this is about as close to a must-win for Jacksonville as there could possibly be, and both of these quarterbacks have the ability to rip up the field and sling touchdowns for fun.
42 points is just way too low here, especially given that Jacksonville has put up 27+ in 6 of its last 8.
AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack