Patriots vs. Steelers: they can’t all be blockbusters, but don’t lie. We know you’re going to watch.
Unless you’ve got your eye on NBC’s Christmas at the Opry or a little Ghosts U.K. on CBS (Liam’s favorite), it’ll be another low-scoring affair on Amazon Thursday Night Football that rocks you to sleep.
And because we’re NFL sycophants and can’t resist the Over, Patriots-Steelers will still be the bell of Thursday night’s ball. So let’s take a look at all the betting information you’ll need for Week 14’s inaugural matchup.
Patriots vs. Steelers: Week 14 info
Date: Thursday, December 7th
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
TV channel: Amazon Prime, NFL Gamepass (NFL+), DAZN
NFL Week 14 odds: Patriots vs. Steelers
Spread: New England Patriots +6.0 | Pittsburgh Steelers -6.0
Moneyline: New England Patriots +235 | Pittsburgh Steelers -290
Total: Over/Under 30.5
Patriots vs. Steelers | Betting Preview for Week 14
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Patriots vs. Steelers | Betting Prediction
Always Keeping Score
We have to start with the points total, which sits at 30.5 O/U on FanDuel Sportsbook.
This will be the lowest total either team has seen this season. In fact, according to a report from USNews, the New England-Pittsburgh O/U has the lowest NFL total points in over fifteen years, and for good reason.
The New England Patriots have scored 13 points over the last three weeks, and, not to be outdone, the Steelers have just 36 total points over the last three weeks. A little more fuel for the fire would be a quarterback duel featuring Bailey Zappe and Mitchell Trubisky. Although Trubisky did promise to ‘be aggressive.’
While conventional wisdom says to expect low scoring, with an O/U like this, PFF actually has the Over with a slight edge with a predictive 31.3 points to be scored. That’s right, folks – we’re hammering the Over – it’s just too low not to grab a taste.
You’d have better odds spreading out on your couch than hitting the Spread
You’re really asking for it betting on two backup quarterbacks on a short week, but if you’re still with me, I like Zappe’s chances, even without Demario Douglas and Rhamondre Stevenson.
Pittsburgh could be without Najee Harris, defensive tackle Keeanu Benton, and starting center Mason Cole (his replacement would be Nate Herbig, a familiar name to Eagles fans). Without mentioning a failed exchange last week that resulted in a fumble, pairing a banged-up center with a backup quarterback in Trubisky makes me nervous. The injury bug edge still goes to New England.
And while the Patriots are just 2-10 against the spread in 2023, Zappe, in a scoreless effort last week, at least didn’t turn the ball over. That was the first time a Patriots quarterback hadn’t turned the ball over since Week 7. I understand that’s a low bar, but I don’t have much to work with here.
This Pittsburgh defense has allowed 16.5 PPG over their last four contests while scoring just 14.8, and that was with Kenny Pickett. A spread of almost a touchdown, in tandem with the unpredictable results of TNF, has me leaning toward the battered Patriots to cover.