Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix: 3 prop bets that look primed to cash this weekend

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Saudi Arabia F1 GP Auto Racing
Red Bull driver Sergio Perez of Mexico takes over Aston Martin driver Fernando Alonso of Spain during the Saudi Arabia Formula One Grand Prix at the Jeddah corniche circuit in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, Sunday, March 19, 2023. (AP Photo/Hassan Ammar)

The Formula 1 circus travels to the USA this weekend on the back of a brilliant Baku win for Sergio Perez and Red Bull. The Miami Grand Prix will see the defending constructors’ champs come soaring unchallenged into this round, but if last year’s race is anything to go by, it’s wide open.

Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix Odds:

Max Verstappen-250
Sergio Perez+330
Fernando Alonso+1400
Charles LeClerc+1400
Lewis Hamilton+2200
George Russell+3000
Carlos Sainz+3000
Lance Stroll+10000
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It shouldn’t be surprising to see Max Verstappen listed as the heavy favorite to win the fourth round of the 2023 Formula 1 World Championship. He’s still leading the charge as things stand and he’s had 2 wins and 4 podiums so far. The defending World Champion won this race last year and if the Red Bull’s can carry that dominance across the pond, then Max has a very strong chance of repeating that feat at the Miami Grand Prix.

With that said, it was teammate Sergio Perez who won both the sprint and the feature race last week. The Red Bull team now has three one-two finishes this season and Perez typically thrives in street circuit settings, evidenced not only by his wins last week, but his victory in Saudi Arabia too. We know tensions can flare between the two drivers but with Perez only 6 points behind Verstappen in the standings, he’s going to want to fight for a win at the Miami Grand Prix.

Tucked in behind is Fernando Alonso. Interestingly, Alonso was +800 to win the season-opening race and has drifted to +1400 ahead of the Miami Grand Prix – a real testament to how good that Red Bull Car is. With that in mind, Alonso still managed to drag an AMR23 chassis with a faulty DRS home to 4th place last weekend which is something only the savvy Spaniard could really pull off. If things are back to normal this week, there’s no reason he can’t hunt down the Red Bull’s as he did a few weeks ago before a rogue incident ruined his strategy and all but gifted an insurmountable lead to the championship leaders.

Where to find value at the Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix

Miami grand prix
Ferrari driver Charles Leclerc of Monaco steers his car during the Formula One Grand Prix at the Baku circuit in Baku, Azerbaijan, Sunday, April 30, 2023. (AP Photo/Sergei Grits)

Esteban Ocon: Top-6 finish at the Miami Grand Prix +550

Ocon has hardly had a great start to 2023, but he did finish 8th here last year and the Alpine, for all its flaws, does have new upgrades on the car. Sure, they backfired massively in Baku, but there is an aggressive approach from the team to make up for lost time in what has been a highly disappointing campaign so far. Ocon might not be the driver you want to back to keep his nose out of trouble, but he’s certainly a fast enough guy who can capitalize on safety cars elsewhere.

Ferrari to record a double top-6 finish: -150

They’re somehow no longer the most chaotic team on the grid, but they’re also much further down the pecking order than they should be. Leclerc’s podium last week was the Scuderia’s first of the entire season. Progress is being made and the team is bringing its first slew of upgrades to the table this week. This should see both exceptionally talented drivers be able to challenge for top-5 spots.

Valtteri Bottas to finish inside the top-10: +275

Alfa Romeo’s 2023 season has been a disaster so far and a brawl in Baku shortly after the lights went out hardly helped matters. Still, Bottas is among the most talented drivers on the entire grid, and the track fits Alfa Romeo’s aero-package way more than Baku did. A first Alfra Romeo points finish could be on the cards here.

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Photo by Xavi Bonilla/DPPI/Icon Sportswire