Phillies vs. Mets betting preview for Saturday August 13th, 2022

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Phillies Aaron Nola
Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola delivers during the first inning of a baseball game against the Pittsburgh Pirates in Pittsburgh, Sunday, July 31, 2022. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)

What a way to start the Philadelphia Phillies‘ visit to the Citi.

When all seemed lost, and Phillies Twitter hit a doom swirl, Matt Vierling did this:

Not to be outdone, Alec Bohm drives in Bryson Stott for the second time of the night, and the Apple TV+ broadcast team (Mets sleeper agents) falls silent.

However, as Cliff Floyd would say, ‘I’m neutral here,’ so let’s peep our best bets as the Phillies look to take the series from the Metropolitans.

Pitching matchup Saturday, August 13th – 7:10p @ Citi Field

Aaron Nola (8-8, 3.17 ERA) v. Jacob deGrom (1-0, 2.53)

Nola’s quite possibly in the midst of his best professional season. With the second most innings pitched in the MLB (144 & 2/3), behind only Sandy Alcantara, and the best BB/9 of his career (1.2), his mediocre 8-8 record still overshadows the incredible season he’s thrown together.

I’m the first to admit wins are a poor barometer of any pitcher, but I don’t think the Cy Young voters would agree. A win in New York would look good on his resume.

Against the Mets this season, Nola’s averaged 7.67 strikeouts per game, and deGrom should have no trouble tripping up the Daycare. So what we do is this.

Aaron Nola7+ Strikeouts+190
Jacob deGrom 7+ Strikeouts-670
TOTALEZ Money+219

Phillies Daily Fantasy Pick of the Day

Unsurprisingly, the Phillies haven’t had much success against deGrom, so we will ride the hot hand. Over the last seven days, Stott’s hitting .529 with two doubles and five RBIs.

Fantastic value for someone you can get for $2,800 on FanDuel, the DFS platform I rely on to lose money.

Best Bets and Where to Find Them

We live and die on the parlay. You can put that on my tombstone (or something about how great my hairline was until the bitter end).

Phillies +1.5 and OVER 6.5 runs – that’s our pick today. It’s too tasty. We’re dealing with two ace-level pitchers, but I have seen a run total this low all year.

I’m becoming a parody of myself at this point, but in New York City today, the average temperature from 7-10pm will be 75.3 degrees Fahrenheit with humidity reminiscent of our Canadian neighbors. That’s hitting weather.