Covering the Spread: Your weekly Philly Sports network guide to NFL betting


Week 3 is in the books and I went 5-10 which brings my overall record to 19-27-1, however that’s around the same record as Bleacher Report so far, so I don’t feel too bad.

(-3.5) Atlanta Falcons (1-2) vs Cinncinati Bengals (2-1)
Both teams are nearly identical when it comes to offensive and defensive rankings but the edge here might come in form of the Falcons passing attack.

Calvin Ridley and Julio Jones look unstoppable together, while Trufant should give Green some troubles in the secondary.

Prediction: Falcons and the Points

(-3) Chicago Bears (2-1 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)
The Buccaneers costly turnovers finally gave them their first loss of the season, while the Bears squeaked by the Cardinals.

Even with their loss, the Buccaneers have kept games close and I don’t see Chicago pulling away with this one even if they win.

Prediction: Buccaneers Cover

(-3) Dallas Cowboys (1-2) vs Detroit Lions (1-2)
The Cowboys are their own worst enemy and will have to rely on Elliot to have a great game as the Lions boast the 2nd best pass defense so far.

The Lions are also top ten in both offence and defence and are riding high after beating the Patriots.

Prediction: Lions Cover

(-9.5) Green Bay Packers (1-1-1) vs Buffalo Bills (1-2)
Josh Allen put together an impressive first career win over the Vikings while the Packers looked flat against the Redskins. Aaron Rodgers is clearly still playing through an injury and the Packers will only go as far as he takes them.

I took the Bills last week in one of my only wins and until Rodgers is healthy it’s hard to trust the Packers.

Prediction: Bills Cover

(-1) Indianapolis Colts (1-2) vs Houston Texans (0-3)
In both their losses the Colts have kept the games close and to the last minute. The Texans have done much of the same but their losses seemed like more of an inevitability than a chance to win the game.

Luck and the Colts have been historically good at home, while Watson and the Texans are 1-4 on the road together.

Prediction: Colts and the Points

(-7.5) Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) vs New York Jets (1-2)
The Jaguars only have only five offensive touchdowns through three weeks and seem to struggle against better defenses. The Jets have the 7th ranked defence and have kept both their losses close.

Even if the Jaguars win, it’s hard to see them pulling away by more than a touchdown.

Prediction: Jets Cover

(-6.5) New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins (3-0)
As unconvincing as the Patriots have been in three weeks, it’s hard to bet against them after two straight losses, especially at home.

The Dolphins still don’t seem for real yet due to their schedule, but this game would go a long way in asserting themselves as for real this season.

Prediction: Patriots and the Points

Tennessee Titans (2-1) vs (-3.5) Philadelphia Eagles (2-1)
The Titans offense has looked stagnant and hasn’t been able to top 20 plus points once yet this season. They rely on the run and face the league’s best unit, which will make it hard on them to move the ball.

The Eagles barely beat the Colts but the defence held strong after costly turnovers that gave them great field position. I expect Wentz to be much better after shaking off some rust in his return from injury, especially with Jeffrey returning.

Prediction: Eagles and the Points

Arizona Cardinals (0-3) vs (-3) Seattle Seahawks (1-2)
The Josh Rosen era begins in Arizona in his first career start against Seattle. The Cardinals finally showed some life against the Bears and Earl Thomas single-handedly stopped the Cowboys and their comeback attempt.

Rosen has weapons and an elite back in David Johnson, while the Seahawks look to get Doug Baldwin back for his first full game of the season after his week one injury. The Cards, however, should be able to handle him with Peterson in the secondary.

Prediction: Cardinals Cover

(-3) Oakland Raiders (0-3) vs Cleveland Browns (1-1-1)
The Browns are riding high after their first win in 635 days, as Baker Mayfield orchestrated an impressive comeback after being down 14-0 when he entered the game.

Meanwhile, the Raiders move the ball downfield well, but still, lack any talent on defence. While the Browns have the tenth best passing defence which should give Oakland problems.

Prediction: Browns Cover

(-10.5) LA Chargers (1-2) vs San Fransisco 49ers (1-2)
The Chargers have lost twice against two of the better teams this season while the 49ers lost Jimmy Garapollo for the rest of the year.

They’ll turn to CJ Beathard who went 1-5 as a starter a season ago while turning the ball over nine times in those games to just four touchdowns. Even with Garopollo at the helm, the Niners still lost their games by 8 and 11 points.

Prediction: Chargers and the Points

New York Giants (1-2) vs (-3.5) New Orleans Saints (2-1)
The Giants have kept all their games close, but the Saints are just too talented on offence. Marshon Lattimore should be able to slow down Odell Beckham Jr, while the Saints have the sixth-ranked run defense to combat Saquan Barkley.

Drew Brees is slinging the ball again and the combination of Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara will be hard to shut down for the Giants.

Prediction: Saints and the Points

(-3) Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) vs Baltimore Ravens (2-1)
The Ravens boast the best defense in the league so far this season, which should go a long way against Antonio Brown and company.

The Steelers haven’t been able to stop anyone of defence and their only win of the season was by 3 points.

Prediction: Ravens Cover

Denver Broncos (2-1) vs (-4.5) Kansas City Chiefs (3-0)
Kansas City hasn’t been able to stop anyone of defence, but that doesn’t seem to matter when you’re scoring nearly 40 points a game. The Chiefs have been winning those games by an average of 8.6 points a game.

The Broncos two wins looked to have come against weaker opponents while losing big last week at the hands of the Ravens.

Prediction: Chiefs and the Points



Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports