Eagle Eye Analytics: Carson Wentz was even better than you thought in 2017

Carson Wentz stunned NFL circles right out of the gates as a rookie in 2016. After his first four NFL starts, he had the Eagles flying high with a 3-1 record, and a 7-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. While that initial shock did wear off and the Eagles would finish the 2016 season with a 7-9 record, Wentz proved that he had all the tools to be a franchise-caliber quarterback.

Heading into 2017, it was clear that Wentz was benefiting from his offseason work. Much was made of his time spent working with quarterback guru, Adam Dedeaux, but Carson also benefitted from the additions brought in by the front office. Year two in the same system with the same head coach had him making better decisions and showing off his refined mechanics. 

While Wentz shined during 2017, his ACL injury left all Eagles’ fans wanting just a little bit more. Below we will dive in to what made Carson so effective and an MVP-front-runner in only his second season.

(Note: Rankings based on quarterbacks who played at least 25 percent of their team’s snaps)

Let’s take a look at where Wentz ranked in the following categories:

  • PFF Grade
  • QB Rating
  • Completion Percentage
  • Deep Passing
  • Passing Under Pressure/No Pressure
  • Passing Using Play Action/No Play Action
  • Time in Pocket 

 

PFF Grade
PFF Grade: 87.6, 5th 

With a grade of 87.6, Wentz jumped almost ten points above his 2016 rookie grade. Not only did he throw for 33 touchdowns to only seven interceptions, but he also led his Eagles to a number-one-overall seed in the NFC. Despite tearing his ACL in a big-time matchup against the Rams in LA during Week 14, it took other quarterbacks in the league until week 17 to reach Carson’s mark of 33 TDs.

Based on this indication, the future is bright for both Philadelphia and Wentz. 

 

QB Rating
NFL QB Rating: 101.9, 5th
PFF QB Rating: 91.09, 7th 

QB Rating is a prime statistic in terms of measuring the overall [passing] effectiveness of a quarterback. However, there are certainly a myriad of outside factors that aren’t considered when determining a QB Rating: Rushing statistics, sacks, or fumbles; nor does it consider a player’s performance during crucial situations such as third and fourth downs. Additionally, passer rating does not account for the quality of play of wide receivers or offensive lineman. 

In any case, going by both NFL QB Rating, and PFF’s QB Rating, Wentz was one of the best QBs in the league last season. 

 

Completion Percentage
NFL Completion Percentage: 60.2%, 26th
PFF Adjusted Completion Percentage: 69.6%, 31st   

Somewhat like the traditional NFL QB Rating, completion percentage is somewhat of a skewed statistic. It’s a little less volatile than QB Rating, per say, but it still fails to account for drops, throw aways, batted passes at the line, spikes, and being hit while throwing.

PFF’s Adjusted Completion Percentage does account for the factors above, and even then, Wentz ranked near the bottom of the league in this category. That said, this shouldn’t be too surprising – Wentz attempted deep passes at one of the highest marks in the NFL last season (more on this below). 

 

Deep Passing
Deep Passing Attempt Percentage: 14.8%, 5th
Deep Passing Accuracy: 44.6%, 8th
NFL QB Rating on Deep Passes: 100.2, 10th
(Note: PFF’s Deep Passing metric is derived from passing attempts targeted at lest 20 yards downfield)

There weren’t many quarterbacks better than Wentz when throwing the deep ball in 2017. Not only did Wentz attempt a lot of deep throws last season, he was extremely effective when he did – racking up 912 yards and 10 of this 33 TDs on throws of 20 yards or more. 

Wentz, often times, used his rocket arm to fire deep balls and squeeze passes into tight windows with ease. His ability to put the ball on the money in the deep game really opened up Philadelphia’s offense in 2017.

Passing Under Pressure

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Percentage of Passes Under Pressure: 35.7%, 21st 

Sack Percentage When Under Pressure: 15.6%, 28th 

Completion Percentage Under Pressure: 43.1%, 31st 

NFL QB Rating When Under Pressure: 81.7, 4th 

NFL QB Rating When Pressured by More Than Two Defenders: 110.7, 1st 

 

Passing When Kept Clean

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Percentage of Passes in a Clean Pocket: 64.3%, 19th

Completion Percentage When Kept Clean: 67.4%, 24th 

NFL QB Rating When Kept Clean: 110.3, 5th 

One of the biggest jumps in Wentz’ game from year one to year two was how he dealt with pressure. As a rookie, Wentz struggled mightily against pressure. His 32.8 passer rating when pressured was the worst in the NFL in 2016. He did, however, change that in 2017, with eight touchdowns and only one interception when facing pressure. 

Interestingly enough, although Wentz ranked in the back-half of the league in completion percentage when under pressure and when kept clean (again, somewhat due to the rate at which he attempted deep passes), he finished fourth and fifth in the league in QB Rating, when under pressure and when kept clean, respectively. 

When under pressure, Wentz tied for second in the league with eight touchdowns and a TD:INT ration of 8:1. When kept clean, Wentz’ TD:INT ratio sat at a healthy 26:5. 

 

Passing Using Play Action
Play Action Percentage: 26.7%, 5th
Completion Percentage When Using Play Action: 63.7%, 16th
NFL QB Rating When Using Play Action: 95.3, 21st 

 

Passing Without Play Action
Completion Percentage No Play Action: 59.0%, 27th
NFL QB Rating No Play Action: 104.1, 1st 

Carson Wentz utilized play action passes on nearly 27% of his passing snaps – good for fifth in the NFL. The Eagles, to Wentz’ credit, are able to run a diverse offense that utilizes quick passing, traditional play action, multiple wide receiver and tight end sets, motions, multiple running backs, RPOs, and more. The flexibility of such an offense, coupled with a cerebral quarterback who can execute it, makes said offense nearly impossible to defend.

 

Run-Pass Options (RPOs)

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Number of RPOs Eagles called in 2017: 181, 1st 

An RPO is a play where the offense can either run or pass depending on, more times than not, the count of defenders in the box. The quarterback has to make a decision, either pre- or post-snap, on whether or not to hand off the ball, or pull it and throw.

RPOs have gained a lot of publicity in recent years. While they’ve been around for a while, in one way or another, Chip Kelly’s Eagles (2013-2015) and Andy Reid’s Chiefs have really brought them into the spotlight in recent years. Not surprisingly, the Eagles and Chiefs still utilize them more than anyone else to this day. 

In 2017, the Eagles had plenty of success running RPOs – all the way to the Lombardi Trophy.

 

Time in Pocket