Phillies vs Mets: Betting preview & predictions for NLDS Game 4

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Phillies
Oct 8, 2024; New York City, New York, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (3) hits an RBI single in the eighth inning against the New York Mets during game three of the NLDS for the 2024 MLB Playoffs at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Phillies vs Mets: Red October is looking a little blue for the Philadelphia Phillies. A disappointing loss to the Mets in game 3 leaves the road team with it all to do on Wednesday night if they are to keep their World Series hopes alive.

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Phillies vs Mets: Game info

Date: Wednesday, October 9th
Time: 5:08 PM EST
Location: Citi Field, New York
TV channel: FOX

Phillies vs Mets: Betting info

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+160) | New York Mets +1.5 (-192)
Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies -102 | New York Mets -118
Total: Over/Under 7.5

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Phillies vs Mets: Pitching preview

Ranger Suarez (12-8, 3.46 ERA) vs Jose Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA)

Aaron Nola was solid for the most part last night and Zack Wheeler excelled in the opener. It’s now down to Ranger Suarez to try and get the best of a lineup that’s only been building in confidence since the start of the postseason.

His hot start seemingly cooled off and Suarez started to wobble after the All-Star break. The Venezuelan has given up an average of 6 runs per game over his last 5, allowing 5+ hits on 3 occasions in that span. We know he’s still got that relentless production buried somewhere, and he’ll need all of that magic against the Mets on Wednesday.

Across from Suarez will be Jose Quintana, who has been trending in the opposite direction. Through his last five games, he’s allowed just 2 runs, pitching 3 shutouts and striking out 9 against the Brewers when it mattered most. This will be a tough game for the Phillies, make no mistake about it.

phillies
Philadelphia Phillies’ Ranger Suarez pitches during the second inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres, Wednesday, June 19, 2024, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

Phillies vs Mets: Betting preview

The Phillies were poor last night, but it just felt like one of those games. Dodgy bounces and crucial mistakes cost them dearly in the end and stunted any rally that could’ve been made. This team needs to be better, and we know they can be, so I’ll ride them for one more time knowing that they believe their destiny lies far beyond the confines of the NLDS.

Betting pick: Phillies -102

Prop bet fun

Ranger Suarez’ strikeout total sits at 3.5, a number he’s surpassed 22 times in 27 appearances this season. He has 35 career K’s against the Mets since 2020 (right in line with this average), so there is some value on this prop.

Phillies
Sep 22, 2024; New York City, New York, USA; Philadelphia Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm (28) hits an RBI single against the New York Mets during the first inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

Best Phillies vs Mets betting offers

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Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images