Phillies vs Mets: Betting preview & predictions for Game 3 of NLDS

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Phillies
Oct 6, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies outfielder Nick Castellanos (8) scores a run in the eighth inning against the New York Mets during game two of the NLDS for the 2024 MLB Playoffs at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images

Phillies vs Mets: The National League Divisional series is tied at 1-1 following a breathtaking late rally from the Phillies on Sunday night. New York now plays host to Philadelphia for what promises to be a very tense game 3, but can the Phillies build on their wonderous weekend win?

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Phillies vs Mets: Game info

Date: Tuesday, October 8th
Time: 5:08 PM EST
Location: Citi Field, New York
TV channel: FOX

Phillies vs Mets: Betting info

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+154) | New York Mets +1.5 (-185)
Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies -115 | New York Mets -105
Total: Over/Under 7

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Phillies vs Mets: Pitching preview

Aaron Nola (14-8, 3.57 ERA) vs Sean Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA)

It’s Nola day in New York. The longtime Phillie ended his season on a high, giving up just 6 runs in his last 18 innings pitched (3 games). He’s also struck out 7+ in 4 of his last 5 starts. If Nola can stay hot, then the Mets are going to need something special to put some runs on the board. For his career, Aaron Nola is 10-9 against the Mets, sporting an ERA of 3.46.

The decision to ride with Kodai Senga in game 1 proved to be profitable for the Mets. It allowed them to keep Mannea in their back pocket for a game 3 clash with Aaron Nola, to at least try and level the playing field. Mannaea actually faced the Phils in late September, going 7 innings and giving up just 3 runs and hits, although 2 were homers. He’s been as consistent as you like this season. In fact, Manaea has only allowed 5+ runs on 2 occasions in his last 17 games. The Phillies will have their work cut out for them this evening.

Phillies
Sep 18, 2024; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola (27) pitches in the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-Imagn Images

Phillies vs Mets: Betting preview

Sunday’s win might have injected a bolt of confidence into this Phillies team. Their 10 hits recorded were the most since their series finale against the Cubs back on September 25th. They face a tough pitcher in Manaea, but with the power potentially restored to the lineup, a statement win feels likely with confidence now high.

Betting pick: Phillies -115

Prop bet fun

Our Bryce Harper home run prop at +310 cashed on Sunday, and today we’re going for two in a row. I like Nola to record 6 strikeouts here. The Mets are the second-worst team in the postseason in terms of K’s and Zack Wheeler lit them up in game 1. I think Nola can build on that here.

Phillies
Sep 22, 2024; New York City, New York, USA; Philadelphia Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm (28) hits an RBI single against the New York Mets during the first inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

Best Phillies vs Mets betting offers

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Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images