Phillies vs Mets: NLDS Betting preview & predictions for game 1

Phillies
Sep 24, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber (12) looks on after hitting a two-run home run against the Chicago Cubs in the eighth inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images

Phillies vs Mets: Red October is finally here and the stakes couldn’t be higher. The NLDS kicks off with a clash between the Phillies and Mets as the teams renew their historic rivalry on the postseason stage. Here’s everything you need to know about the game from a betting perspective.

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Phillies vs Mets: Game info

Date: Saturday, October 5th
Time: 4:08 PM EST
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
TV channel: NBCS Philadelphia, MLB TV

Phillies vs Mets: Betting info

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+120) | New York Mets +1.5 (-42)
Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies -185 | New York Mets +154
Total: Over/Under 7

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Phillies vs Mets: Pitching preview

Zack Wheeler (16-7, 2.57 ERA) vs Kodai Senga ( 1-0, 3.88 ERA)

What a season it’s been for Zack Wheeler. The veteran has been nothing short of outstanding all year long for Philadelphia and especially in the lone clash against his former team. Wheeler only played one game against the Mets this year, but struck out 8 and allowed 2 runs and 7 hits. He’s been a real foundation of the pitching staff since his arrival and will be a key cog in the team’s playoff hopes.

Across from Wheeler will be Kodai Senga, who is returning after missing multiple months with a calf injury. Compounding that was a shoulder setback that made him miss the first half of the season. It’s a big spot for any pitcher to make their return, especially on the road in front of a sold out CBP, but his return allows the Mets to rest both Luis Severino and Sean Mannea for the coming games.

It’s not clear what his workload will be and if he’s going to be able to fire at his usual clip, but the Phillies bats will be waiting if he can’t.

Phillies Zack wheeler
Aug 31, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA;Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Zack Wheeler (45) throws a pitch during the first inning against the Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Phillies vs Mets: Betting preview

This is a really intriguing matchup. The Mets are high on confidence after one of the most breathtaking playoff victories of all time, and the Phils are coming off of a practical bye week. I think the edge has to be with Philly here. They’re at home and we just don’t know what Senga is going to bring to the table upon his return. The Phillies clinched the season series 7-6 and I expect them to add another to that tally tonight.

Betting pick: Phillies -185

Prop bet fun

I like Kodai Senga to throw under 2.5 strikeouts at -105. He’s pitched in just 5 innings this season and this stage is a huge one. If he’s on a pitch count, I don’t think he’s going to get deep enough into the game to pass this total.

Phillies
Sep 22, 2024; New York City, New York, USA; Philadelphia Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm (28) hits an RBI single against the New York Mets during the first inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

Best Phillies vs Mets betting offers

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Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images