Philadelphia Union Playoff Update: Where Union’s draw against Atlanta leaves their 2024 MLS Cup Playoff hopes

Union
Sep 22, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Union midfielder Dániel Gazdag (10) celebrates after scoring a goal against D.C. United during the second half at Subaru Park. Mandatory Credit: Caean Couto-Imagn Images

Philadelphia Union know that their 1-1 draw against Atlanta United at Subaru Park on Saturday was a big opportunity missed, but they still sit inside the playoff line with 3 games to go and destiny in their own hands.

If they can take care of business in their next 3 games, they’ll punch their ticket to the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs. But if they drop points against either Orlando or Columbus on the road, and don’t get help from teams around the league, Union could be packing it up early for the first time since 2017.

Relevant Weekend Results

Even though Philly dropped points in their 1-1 draw against Atlanta at home this weekend, they were able to get some help around the league, with the only real result going against them being Montreal’s 3-0 win against San Jose, bumping them up to 37 points and out of the playoff picture only due to a tie-breaker with 3 games to go.

Rev’s win keeps Nashville 4 points below Union and the final playoff spot, while Chicago’s 1-1 draw against Toronto keeps Union tied on points with John Herdman’s side, giving them an opportunity to jump up in the standings. A win for both Columbus and Miami would have helped Union even more, but holding DC and Charlotte to draws is ultimately helpful.

Good Results for Philadelphia

DC United 2 – 2 Columbus Crew – Good Result

Inter Miami 1 – 1 Charlotte FC – Good Result

New England Revolution 1 – 0 Nashville SC – Good Result

Chicago Fire 1 – 1 Toronto FC – Good Result

Bad Results for Union

CF Montreal 3 – 0 San Jose Earthquakes – Bad Result

Union
Sep 22, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Union midfielder Quinn Sullivan (33) before a free-kick against D.C. United during the second half at Subaru Park. Mandatory Credit: Caean Couto-Imagn Images

Updated Standings and Upcoming Fixtures

StandingsGames PlayedTotal PointsFinal Games of Season
1) Inter Miami (X)3165@ CLB, @ TOR, vs NE
2) Columbus Crew (X)3057vs MIA, vs PHL, vs NE, @ NYRB
3) FC Cincinnati (X)3156@ NYCFC, vs ORL, @ PHL
4) Orlando City SC (X)3146vs PHL, @ CIN, vs ATL
5) NYCFC (X)3144vs CIN, vs NSH, @ MTL
6) New York Red Bulls (X)3144@ TOR, @ ATL, vs CLB
7) Charlotte FC3142vs CHI, vs MTL, @ DC
8) Toronto FC3237vs NYRB, vs MIA
9) Philadelphia Union3137@ ORL, @ CLB, vs CIN
10) CF Montreal3137@ ATL, @ CLT, vs NYCFC
11) Atlanta United3134vs MTL, vs NYRB, @ ORL
12) DC United3134@ NSH, @ NE, vs CLT
13) Nashville SC3133vs DC, @ NYCFC, @ CHI
14) New England Revolution3130@ HOU, vs DC, @ CLB, @ MIA
15) Chicago Fire (E)3032@ CLT, vs NSH

Chances of Union Making the Playoffs

After this weekend’s results, Union’s chances of locking down one of the 3 remaining playoff spots has moved to 44%, according to playoffstatus.com, while Atlanta, Toronto, Montreal, and DC’s chances have all fallen below 20%

Games to Watch This Weekend

Winning all 3 of their final games would be the easiest way for Union to secure their spot in the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs, but all 3 of those games come against really tough opponents. If Union fail to take care of business themselves, they’ll have to rely on help from around the league to sneak into one of the final playoff spots come Decision Day. Here’s the matchups on Wednesday night that could have an impact on Union’s playoff hopes

Atlanta United (11th) vs CF Montreal (10th) – 7:30pm
Result that helps Union: Draw

Charlotte FC (7th) vs Chicago Fire (15th) – 7:30pm
Result that helps Union: Chicago Win

Toronto FC (8th) vs New York Red Bulls (6th) – 7:30pm
Result that helps Union: Red Bulls win

Nashville SC (13th) vs DC United (12th) – 8:30pm
Result that helps Union: Draw

Mandatory Credit: Caean Couto-Imagn Images