EURO 2024: France vs Spain betting preview & predictions

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Euro 2024
France’s Kylian Mbappe controls the ball during the international friendly soccer match between France and Canada at the Matmut Atlantique stadium in Bordeaux, southwestern France, Sunday, June 9, 2024. (AP Photo/Yohan Bonnet)

And then there were four. The first of two EURO 2024 Semi Final fixtures takes place on Tuesday, with France and Spain locking horns in what promises to be one of the most thrilling matches of the entire Summer. Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective.

France vs Spain

EURO 2024: France vs Spain Game info

Date: Tuesday July 9th
Time: 3PM ET, 8:00PM BST
Location: Allianz Arena
TV channel: FOX Sports

EURO 2024: France vs Spain Betting info

Moneyline: Spain +175 | Draw +185 | France +200

Spain go into the Semi Final as slight favorites over long-time rivals France and are currently the favorites to win the whole tournament. A win against France would see them face either England or the Netherlands, a game that either team in this contest should be well-positioned to win, but it’s La Roja who carry the most momentum after their impressive 2-1 win over Germany in the quarter final, becoming the only team to have won all five of their games thus far in the process.

Euro 2024
Spain’s Pedri, right, covers his face after suffering an injury during a quarter final match between Germany and Spain at the Euro 2024 soccer tournament in Stuttgart, Germany, Friday, July 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Manu Fernandez)

France have one of the best teams in the EURO competition but have failed to really fire on all cylinders up to this point. Defensively, they’ve been extremely solid, but a lack of finishing up-front as handcuffed them into some real dogfights at every turn. An underwhelming group stage phase was followed by narrow wins over both Belgium and Portugal, with the latter needing a penalty shootout to decide a winner. With that said, you can never count out a side fielding some of the best players in the world including talisman Kylian Mbappe.

France will be facing a slightly undermanned Spanish outfit and that could well play a factor. Pedri is out for the remainder of the tournament due to an injury and the team will also be without Carvajal and Robin Le Normand due to suspensions. However, with the likes of wonderkid Lamine Yamal providing an unparalleled amount of flair, and a defense/midfield littered with top-level experience, it remains to be seen just how big those losses will really be.

The two teams have met 37 times in total, with Spain winning 16, France 13, and 7 ties. They’ve only met twice since 2017, with the games being split one apiece.

France vs Spain betting predictions

It’s really hard to predict this one. Spain is the better team on paper and have played like it every step of the way, whereas France certainly still has another level to find. As an outright winner, it’s hard not to back La Roja, but betting over 1.5 goals feels like the safest bet at -205.

I also like Olivier Giroud to score anytime at +290. He’s long been a staple of the French attack and while he’s no longer the key cog he once was, his veteran presence could matter a lot in a game like this. He’s a bench player who could provide a pivotal physical presence in the box in the dying moments, which could mean the world when all is said and done.

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AP Photo/Yohan Bonnet