Phillies vs Pirates: Best bets, TV schedule & betting preview for September 26th

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Phillies Bryce harper
Philadelphia Phillies’ Bryce Harper, right, reacts past Washington Nationals catcher Riley Adams after hitting a two-run home run during the fifth inning of the second baseball game in a doubleheader, Tuesday, Aug. 8, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

The Philadelphia Phillies can clinch a playoff berth this evening with a win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. While there isn’t much doubt that they will be a factor in the postseason, a win on Tuesday will give the home-field advantage. Can Aaron Nola pitch his way to victory against Pittsburgh?

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Phillies vs Pirates info

Date: Tuesday, September 26th
Time: 6:40PM ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
TV channel: MLB TV, NBCSP

Phillies vs Pirates Betting odds

Money line: Philadelphia Phillies (-166) | Pittsburgh Pirates (+140)
Run Line: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+130) | Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (+155)
Run total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Pitching matchup

Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.57 ERA) vs Mitch Keller (13-9, 4.25 ERA)

Aaron Nola takes to the mound on Tuesday with hopes of maintaining his improved form. It’s been a tale of two halves for Nola this season, but the month of September has proven to be a positive one. The Phillies have won each of his last 3 starts and he’s only allowed one home run in that span. He’s still bleeding hits, having surrendered 6+ in each September start, which is definitely something to keep an eye on.

Across from Nola will be Mitch Keller, who has allowed 28 hits through his last 4 games. Given that the Phillies rank 8th in runs per game, and 6th in that metric over their last 3 games, this is certainly concerning.

The total for this game is only 7.5, with both Nola and Keller hardly being the most reliable arms to bet behind this season. I have no problem backing the over, especially with Philadelphia wanting to put a bow on their playoff present.

Philadelphia Phillies’ Kyle Schwarber connects for a home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the first inning of a baseball game Tuesday, June 13, 2023, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

Phillies vs Pirates Betting preview

The Pirates bats rank 21st in runs per game and if Aaron Nola even has an average day at the office, that spells trouble. Meanwhile, as previously mentioned, it’s not like Keller has been much more reliable. The Phils have enough explosiveness offensively to comfortably win this game if you’re looking to bet on the overall winner market.

From a prop perspective, Trea Turner will be a popular play this evening and for good reason. He has 7 hits in his last 10 games, but he hasn’t hit a home run since a September 12th win over the Braves. Backing him to record a home run this evening could be a great play.

Kyle Schwarber is another man who has been red-hot during these last few weeks. He also has 7 hits in 10 At Bats against Keller. Backing Schwarber to record a hit could be a great addition to your Same Game Parlays.

Phillies world series
Philadelphia Phillies’ J.T. Realmuto, right, celebrates his solo homer with Philadelphia Phillies Bryce Harper during the 10th inning in Game 1 of baseball’s World Series between the Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, Oct. 28, 2022, in Houston. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)

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AP Photo/Matt Slocum