Of all the NFL week 3 matchups, Bills vs Commanders is the one where an upset feels possible. Sam Howell and a new-look Commanders team are off to a flying start while the Bills will be looking to win as dominantly as they did one week ago.
If you’re looking to bet on the Bills vs Commanders clash, you’ve come to the right spot. We’ve not only found 5 prop bets that could give bettors some insane value, but also rounded up the best betting promos on offer to new users this week!
Bills vs Commanders: Game Details
Date: Sunday, September 23rd
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Location: FedEx Field
TV channel: Fox, NFL Gamepass
Bills vs Commanders: 5 best prop bets
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Sam Howell 1.5+ passing touchdowns +150
Sam Howell has been one of the most surprising quarterbacks in all of football through the opening two games. His 108.8 rating and pair of touchdowns last week reflected a confident passer who is thriving in a new-look offense.
The Bills always have a dominant defense and they’re only giving up 15 points per game. However, that came against Zach Wilson’s Jets and whatever is left of the Raiders.
There should be some upside for the Commanders here and while I don’t like taking Howell’s yard total, he should be aggressive enough to fire at least two darts into the endzone.
Jahan Dotson OVER 41 yards -110
Jahan Dotson felt like a no-brainer for me in fantasy formats and I’ve been rewarded for that choice. While he’s yet to ‘break out’, he’s put up steady numbers and has become a reliable target for Howell.
With the Bills likely going all-in on bracketing McLaurin, don’t be surprised to see Dotson become more of a release valve and get some more attention on Sunday.
Josh Allen to throw OVER 247 yards -110
Josh Allen is always a high-risk, high-reward play, but he’s still one of the elite quarterbacks in the NFL. Even when he’s struggling, he’s very very good. He’s put up 236+ yards in both games so far this year and while Washington’s pass-rush is coming alive with the return of Chase Young, the Bills have one of the best offensive fronts in football to negate that.
If the Commanders come out swinging, we can expect a game where Josh Allen is going to need to score early and often. He should be in a prime spot to lead the Bills up and down the field here.
Terry McLaurin UNDER 53.5 yards -110
I love Terry McLaurin, but I also love Tre’Davious White and a ruthless safety corps. He has 101 yards across 2 games in his career against the Bills, and he now arguably has quarterback at the same level as his signal-caller then – Taylor Heinicke.
The Bills have never been brutalized by ‘Scary Terry’ and they’ll be intent on knocking Sam Howell off his perch. I can see ways where Dotson and the running backs ball out, but McLaurin’s stock is a fade for this week.
Tyler Bass OVER 1.5 field goals made -105
Sure, this is a niche prop, but Bass is 4-4 when it comes to field goals on the season and made all 3 in week 2. The Commanders rank THIRD in opposing Red Zone scoring percentage, which means the Bills might bake the cake without putting the cherry on top. I like Tyler Bass to make 2+ field goals with ease in what could be a tight game.
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AP Photo/John Bazemore