The Philadelphia Phillies were able to kick off their series against the Marlins with a bang by winning the opening game 4-2. Can they build on that in this crucial NL East showdown?
Phillies vs Marlins info
Date: Tuesday, August 1st
Time: 8:40PM ET
Location: Marlins Park, Miami
TV channel: MLB TV
Phillies vs Marlins Betting odds
Money line: Philadelphia Phillies (+110) | Miami Marlins (-130)
Run Line: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-192) | Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (-160)
Run total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
Ranger Suarez (2-5, 4.22 ERA) vs Sandy Alcantara (4-9, 4.52 ERA)
This should be a pitching matchup of dreams, but it could be a very different affair if recent form is to go by. Ranger Suarez had a 6.11 ERA through 5 starts in the month of July, allowing 5 home runs and 36 hits in 28 innings.
As for Alcantara, he has posted a 3.31 ERA through his most recent 5 starts, allowing fewer than 3 runs in 3 of those matchups. He gave up only one run against the Tampa Bay Rays in his most recent outing, who rank 10th in batting average. If you’re looking to bet against Alcantara, he has allowed 5+ hits in each of his last 5 starts and faces a Phillies offense who has put up 8+ hits in EVERY game against him since 2022. Alcantara to allow over 5.5 hits is -145 tonight.
Phillies vs Marlins Betting preview
Aside from backing the Phils to rattle an otherwise steady Sandy Alcantara, I’m backing the OVER here. Alcantara and Suarez could combine for a relentless pitching matchup, so we get 7.5 to play with today which is a low total. Suarez has struggled in recent weeks and Alcantara can’t seem to suss out the Phils. Both bullpens are allowing over 3.78 ERA. I think the offense rules the day here.
If you want a prop bet, look no further than J.T Realmuto and Alec Bohm. Realmuto is batting .286 against Alcantara in 35 At-Bats, while Bohm has a .348 average through 23, registering 8 hits. Realmuto has 2 home runs off Alcantara in his career and is +700 to hit one tonight. Those are juicy odds for a very viable outcome. Bohm is +950 to record a home run and -235 to record a hit.
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AP Photo/Matt Rourke