The Phillies squeaked out an 8-7 win in extra innings yesterday over the Washington Nationals. The good news is that not only does the hot run continue, but our bet of over 10.5 runs flew in. Can the Phillies finish the job and sweep the Nats later today?
The Phillies win in bumpy fashion
Last night’s game wasn’t without controversy. Some late Bryce Harper magic tied things up in the bottom of the eighth as a designated hitter, but in typical bullpen fashion, the Phillies let it slip in the ninth.
With extra innings abound, J.T Realmuto singled with runners on second and third. One run was brought home, but Rhys Hoskins was clearly thrown out. The umpires somehow felt otherwise and counted the run??
I’m not really sure what happened either, but it’s nice for the Phils to be on the other side of the coin for a change.
Kyle Schwarber batted in three runs for the Phils while Matt Vierling was arguably the star of the show, with two runs and two hits in three at-bats.
Aaron Nola (4-4, 3.42 ERA) vs. Josiah Gray (6-4, 4.33 ERA)
It would be easy to say that Nola has the advantage here, but he did struggle against the Nats last season giving up 11 runs in 9 innings pitched. However, he’s posting a 3.00 ERA through the month of June and has only given up 7 runs through 21 innings, striking out 17. Nola is playing exceptionally well, so Gray is going to have his work cut out for him.
If anything, this matchup lends itself very nicely to betting the under. Gray has struck out 30 over his last 5 games and allowed a 4.32 ERA. He’s been strong, but has allowed 5+ hits in 3 of those last 5 outings.
I really like the under here. This series has seen an offensive explosion throughout the first two contests, but now we see Aaron Nola head to the mound against a pitcher who strikes out a lot and can usually go 5 or 6 innings deep. If you want to be really adventurous, correlating the Phillies and the under could be profitable.
AP Photo/Patrick Semansky